A Collection of Clangers
The experts don't always get it right
Some more consolation for the oft-rejected innovator and creative genius.
(The provenance of all these quotes
has not been checked)
Technology
'The Americans may have need of the telephone but we do not. We have
plenty of messenger boys.' Sir William Preece,
chief engineer of the General Post Office in Britain
'It must be accepted as a principle that the rifle,
effective as it is, cannot replace the effect produced by the speed of the
horse, the magnetism of the charge and the terror of cold steel.'
British Cavalry Training Manual, 1907
'It does not meet the fundamental
technical requirements of a motorcar.' Lord Rootes, on
taking the Volkswagen factory and designs as war reparations in 1946. Over the
next 58 years more than 21 million Volkswagen Beetles were sold.
‘Everything that can be invented has been invented.’ Charles Duell, Commissioner US Patent Office 1899
‘This “telephone” has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a
means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.’ Western
Union internal memo, 1876
‘Drill for Oil? You mean drill in the ground to try and find oil? You're crazy.’
Response reported by Edwin Drake as he tried to hire workmen who knew oil just
bubbled out of the ground in 1895
‘Professor Goddard does not know the relation between action and reaction and the need to
have something better than a vacuum against which to react. He seems to lack
the basic knowledge ladled out daily in high schools.’ New York Times editorial about Robert Goddard the 'father of US
rocketry', 1921
‘Airplanes are interesting toys but of no military value.’ Marechal Foch, Professor of
Strategy, at the French War Studies College
‘No flying machine will ever fly from New York to Paris.’ Orville Wright
Computers
‘I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.’ Thomas Watson,
chairman of IBM, 1949
‘Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons.’ Popular Mechanics, 1949
‘I have travelled the length and breadth of this country and talked with the best
people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that won't last out
the year.’ So next time your book is rejected recall the advice of the
editor in charge of business books for Prentice Hall, 1957
‘There is no reason why anybody would want a computer in their home.’ Ken Olson,
founder of DEC 1977
‘640K ought to be enough for anybody.’ Bill Gates in 1981 justifying the limit on memory size built into the original PC
operating software at a time when top end machines had 64k
‘$100 million dollars is way too much to pay for Microsoft.’ IBM decide not to take over the company they had paid to write the
operating software for the PC, 1982
‘But what ... is it good for?’ Engineer at the Advanced Computing Systems
Division of IBM commenting on the microchip, 1968
‘So we went to Atari and said, 'Hey, we've got this amazing thing, even built with
some of your parts, and what do you think about funding us? Or we'll give it
to you. We just want to do it. Pay our salary, we'll come work for you.' And
they said, 'No.' So then we went to Hewlett-Packard, and they said, 'Hey, we
don't need you. You haven't got through college yet.’ Steve Jobs, founder of
Apple Computer Inc, tries to get Atari and HP interested in the desktop
computer he and Steve Wozniak had built (Apple are now better known for Mac
computers)
Medical
'There will be 1 million Aids cases in Britain by the end of 1991.' World
Health Organisation report, July 1989. By March 1994 there had only been
9,000 cases.
‘Louis Pasteur's theory of germs is ridiculous fiction.’ Pierre Pachet, Professor
of Physiology at Toulouse, 1872
Broadcasting
‘Radio has no future. Heavier than air machines are impossible. X-rays will prove to
be a hoax.’ Lord Kelvin, President of the Royal Society,1895. He was, at that time, the world's best known
physicist
‘The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a
message sent to nobody in particular?’ David Sarnoff's associates in response to his urgings for investment in the radio in the
1920s
‘We don't like their sound and guitar music is on the way out.’ Decca records
rejects the Beatles,1962
‘Who ….. wants to hear actors talk?’ HM Warner, Warner Brothers,
1927
‘I'm just glad it'll be Clark Gable who's falling on his face and not Gary Cooper.’
Gary Cooper, on his decision not to take the leading role in Gone with the Wind’
Sheer Bad Luck
'I'm going because I want to avoid all the violence in the streets.' Mrs
Elizabeth McClelland in 1970 on emigrating from Belfast to New Zealand.
In February 1972 she died in Christchurch as a result of being hit on the head
with a placard demanding civil rights in Ulster.
But take heart
‘If I had thought about it, I wouldn't have done the experiment’ Spencer Silver,
whose work produced the not very sticky adhesive which Art Fry used
in 1974 on 3-M "Post-It" Notepads
‘The physician can bury his mistakes, but the architect can only advise his client
to plant vines.’ Frank Lloyd Wright New York Times magazine,
1953

The apocryphal tale is told of the civil servant who ran the Department of
Innovations.